29 September 2023 to 1 October 2023
School of Applied Mathematics and Informatics, University of Osijek, Croatia
Europe/Zagreb timezone

Asymptotic behavior of an approximate maximum likelihood estimator of drift parameters in a multidimensional diffusion model

2
30 Sept 2023, 15:00
30m
School of Applied Mathematics and Informatics, University of Osijek, Croatia

School of Applied Mathematics and Informatics, University of Osijek, Croatia

Trg Ljudevita Gaja 6, HR-31000 Osijek

Speaker

Andreja Vlahek Štrok (Faculty of Chemical Engineering and Technology, University of Zagreb)

Description

For a fixed $T$ and $k\geq 2$, we analyze a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation over the time interval $[0,T]$:
$$dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)\,dt+\nu(X_t)\,dW_t,$$ where $\mu(X_t, \theta)$ is a $k$-dimensional vector and $\nu(X_t)$ is a $k \times k$-dimensional matrix, both consisting of sufficiently smooth functions. $\left(W_t, \, t \geq 0\right)$ is a $k$-dimensional standard Brownian motion whose components $W_t^1, W_t^2, \dots, W_t^k$ are independent scalar Brownian motions. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown and its dependence is in general nonlinear. We prove that approximate maximum likelihood estimator of drift parameters $\hat{\theta}n$ obtained from discrete observations $(X{i\Delta_n}, 0 \leq i \leq n)$, when $\Delta_n=T/n$ tends to zero, is locally asymptotic mixed normal with covariance matrix that depends on maximum likelihood estimator $\hat{\theta}_T$ obtained from continuous observations $(X_t, 0\leq t\leq T)$, and on path $(X_t, 0 \leq t\leq T)$. To prove the desired result, we emphasize the importance of the so-called uniform ellipticity condition of diffusion matrix $S(x)=\nu(x)\nu^T(x)$. Similar considerations can be made for any sufficiently large $T > 0$. The main assumptions are then that $X$ is an ergodic diffusion with stationary distribution and the diffusion matrix is diagonalizable so that only eigenvalues depend on $X$, i.e., there exists an orthogonal constant matrix $U$ such that $S(x)=U\Lambda(x) U^{-1}$.

Primary author

Andreja Vlahek Štrok (Faculty of Chemical Engineering and Technology, University of Zagreb)

Co-authors

Miljenko Huzak (Faculty of Science, Department of Mathematics, University of Zagreb) Snježana Lubura Strunjak (Faculty of Science, Department of Mathematics, University of Zagreb)

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